【第48回グラミー賞予想（パート1）】
難問。
いよいよ第48回グラミー賞が間近に迫った。今年は2月8日（水曜＝日本時間、9日木曜午後10時から）に発表される。例年、授賞式は日曜だが、今年は水曜になっている。今年のハイライトは、マライア・キャリーが何部門取るかといったあたり。
ザ・ソウル・サーチャーの予想は、なんと主要3部門の本命はマライアになってしまった。ひょっとしてひとつくらい落すかもしれないが、どれを落すかが読めない。アルバムがU2になるのだろうか。
去年は主要4部門中、3部門が当たったが、今年はどうなることやら。どのノミネートも、部門も難問ばかりだ。
パート1は、ポップ、ロック部門まで。明日のパート2でR＆B、ラップ、その他の部門を行きます。目標は本命で4割、対抗とあわせて6割。昨年は本命で.565、対抗を含めて.717だった。また、『ソウル・ブレンズ』の2月5日（日）の「ソウル・サーチン」の枠を30分に拡大して、「グラミー予想」を放送します。
General
Record of the Year
本命 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
Gorillaz - "Feel Good， Inc."
対抗 Green Day - "Boulevard of Broken Dreams
Gwen Stefani - "Hollaback Girl"
Kanye West - "Gold Digger"
Album of the Year
本命 Mariah Carey - The Emancipation of Mimi
Paul McCartney - Chaos and Creation in the Backyard
Gwen Stefani - Love， Angel， Music， Baby
対抗 U2 - How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb
Kanye West - Late Registration
Song of the Year
本命 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
対抗 John Legend - "Ordinary People"
Rascal Flatts - "Bless the Broken Road"
Bruce Springsteen - "Devils & Dust"
U2 - "Sometimes You Can’t Make It On Your Own"
Best New Artist
Ciara
対抗 Fall Out Boy
Keane
本命 John Legend
SugarLand
（4部門）
+++++
Pop
Best Female Pop Vocal
本命 Mariah Carey - "It’s Like That"
対抗 Kelly Clarkson - "Since U Been Gone"
Sheryl Crow - "Good is Good"
Bonnie Raitt - "I Will Not Be Broken"
Gwen Stefani - "Hollaback Girl"
Best Male Pop Vocal
対抗 Jack Johnson - "Sitting， Waiting， Wishing"
Paul McCartney - "Fine Line"
Seal - "Walk On By"
Rob Thomas - "Lonely No More"
本命 Stevie Wonder - "From the Bottom of My Heart"
Best Pop Duo or Group With Vocal
The Black Eyed Peas - "Don’t Lie"
The Killers - "Mr.Brightside"
対抗 Los Lonely Boys - "More Than Love"
本命 Maroon 5 - "This Love"
The White Stripes - "My Doorbell"
Best Pop Collaboration With Vocals
The Black Eyed Peas & Jack Johson - "Gone Going"
Foo Fighters featuring Norah Jones - "Virginia Moon"
Gorillaz featuring De La Soul - "Feel Good， Inc."
対抗 Herbie Hancock featuring Christina Aguilera - "A Song for You"
本命 Stevie Wonder featuring India.Arie - "A Time to Love"
Best Pop Instrumental
対抗 Burt Bacharach & Chris Botti - "In Our Time"
George Duke - "T-Jam"
本命 Herbie Hancock featuring Trey Anastasio - "Gelo Na Montanha"
Daniel Lanois - "Agave"
Les Paul - "Caravan"
Best Pop Instrumental Album
本命 Burt Bacharach - At This Time
Eric Johnson - Bloom
Earl Klugh - Naked Guitar
Daniel Lanois - Belladonna
対抗 Jeff Lorber - Flipside
Best Pop Vocal Album
Fiona Apple - Extraordinary Machine
対抗 Kelly Clarkson - Breakaway
本命 Sheryl Crow - Wildflower
Paul McCartney - Chaos and Creation in the Backyard
Gwen Stefani - Love， Angel， Music， Baby
（7部門）
+++++
Field 4 Rock
Category 15 - Best Solo Rock Vocal
本命 Eric Clapton - "Revolution"
Robert Plant - "Shine It All Around"
対抗 Bruce Springsteen - "Devils & Dust"
Rob Thomas - "This Is How a Heart Breaks"
Neil Young - "The Painter"
Best Rock Duo or Group With Vocal
対抗 Coldplay - "Speed of Sound"
Foo Fighters - "Best of You"
Franz Ferdinand - "Do You Want To"
The Killers - "All These Things That I’ve Done"
本命 U2 - "Sometimes You Can’t Make It On Your Own"
Best Rock Instrumental
Adrian Belew - "Beat Box Guitar"
Stewart Copeland - "Birds of Prey"
本命 Les Paul & Friends - "69 Freedom Special"
Joe Perry - "Mercy"
対抗 Steve Vai - "Lotus Feet"
Best Rock Song
Coldplay - "Speed of Sound"
Foo Fighters - "Best of You"
対抗 Bruce Springsteen - "Devils & Dust"
本命 U2 - "City of Blinding Lights"
Weezer - "Beverly Hills"
Best Rock Album
Coldplay - X&Y
Foo Fighters - In Your Honor
対抗 The Rolling Stones - A Bigger Bang
本命 U2 - How To Dismantle an Atomic Bomb
Neil Young - Prairie Wind
（5部門）
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
FIELD 6 - R&B
Category 23 -Best Female R&B Vocal
Amerie - "1 Thing"
対抗 Beyonce - "Wishing on a Star"
本命 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
Fantasia - "Free Yourself"
Alicia Keys - "Unbreakable"
Best Male R&B Vocal
Jamie Foxx - "Creepin’"
本命 John Legend - "Ordinary People"
Mario - "Let Me Love You"
Usher - "Superstar"
対抗 Stevie Wonder - "So What the Fuss"
Best R&B Duo or Group With Vocals
対抗 Beyonce and Stevie Wonder - "So Amazing"
Destiny’s Child - "Cater 2 U"
Alicia Keys featuring Jermaine Paul - "If This World Were Mine"
John Legend featuring Lauryn Hill - "So High"
本命 Stevie Wonder featuring Aisha Morris - "How Will I Know"
Best Traditional R&B Vocal
対抗 Mariah Carey - "Mine Again"
Fantasia - "Summertime"
本命 Aretha Franklin - "A House Is Not a Home"
Alicia Keys - "If I Was Your Woman"
John Legend - "Stay With You"
Best Urban/Alternative
本命 Floetry - "SupaStar"
対抗 Gorillaz - "Dirty Harry"
Van Hunt - "Dust"
Damian Marley - "Welcome to Jamrock"
Mos Def - "Ghetto Rock"
Best R&B Song
対抗 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
Destiny’s Child - "Cater 2 U"
Fantasia - "Free Yourself"
Alicia Keys - "Unbreakable"
本命 John Legend - "Ordinary People"
Best R&B Album
Earth， Wind & Fire - Illumination
Fantasia - Free Yourself
Alicia Keys - Unplugged
対抗 John Legend - Get Lifted
本命 Stevie Wonder - A Time to Love
Category 30 - Best Contemporary R&B Album
Amerie - Touch
本命 Mariah Carey - The Emancipation of Mimi
対抗 Destiny’s Child - Destiny Fulfilled
Mario - Turning Point
Omarion - O
（8部門）
（計24部門）
難問。
いよいよ第48回グラミー賞が間近に迫った。今年は2月8日（水曜＝日本時間、9日木曜午後10時から）に発表される。例年、授賞式は日曜だが、今年は水曜になっている。今年のハイライトは、マライア・キャリーが何部門取るかといったあたり。
ザ・ソウル・サーチャーの予想は、なんと主要3部門の本命はマライアになってしまった。ひょっとしてひとつくらい落すかもしれないが、どれを落すかが読めない。アルバムがU2になるのだろうか。
去年は主要4部門中、3部門が当たったが、今年はどうなることやら。どのノミネートも、部門も難問ばかりだ。
パート1は、ポップ、ロック部門まで。明日のパート2でR＆B、ラップ、その他の部門を行きます。目標は本命で4割、対抗とあわせて6割。昨年は本命で.565、対抗を含めて.717だった。また、『ソウル・ブレンズ』の2月5日（日）の「ソウル・サーチン」の枠を30分に拡大して、「グラミー予想」を放送します。
General
Record of the Year
本命 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
Gorillaz - "Feel Good， Inc."
対抗 Green Day - "Boulevard of Broken Dreams
Gwen Stefani - "Hollaback Girl"
Kanye West - "Gold Digger"
Album of the Year
本命 Mariah Carey - The Emancipation of Mimi
Paul McCartney - Chaos and Creation in the Backyard
Gwen Stefani - Love， Angel， Music， Baby
対抗 U2 - How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb
Kanye West - Late Registration
Song of the Year
本命 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
対抗 John Legend - "Ordinary People"
Rascal Flatts - "Bless the Broken Road"
Bruce Springsteen - "Devils & Dust"
U2 - "Sometimes You Can’t Make It On Your Own"
Best New Artist
Ciara
対抗 Fall Out Boy
Keane
本命 John Legend
SugarLand
（4部門）
+++++
Pop
Best Female Pop Vocal
本命 Mariah Carey - "It’s Like That"
対抗 Kelly Clarkson - "Since U Been Gone"
Sheryl Crow - "Good is Good"
Bonnie Raitt - "I Will Not Be Broken"
Gwen Stefani - "Hollaback Girl"
Best Male Pop Vocal
対抗 Jack Johnson - "Sitting， Waiting， Wishing"
Paul McCartney - "Fine Line"
Seal - "Walk On By"
Rob Thomas - "Lonely No More"
本命 Stevie Wonder - "From the Bottom of My Heart"
Best Pop Duo or Group With Vocal
The Black Eyed Peas - "Don’t Lie"
The Killers - "Mr.Brightside"
対抗 Los Lonely Boys - "More Than Love"
本命 Maroon 5 - "This Love"
The White Stripes - "My Doorbell"
Best Pop Collaboration With Vocals
The Black Eyed Peas & Jack Johson - "Gone Going"
Foo Fighters featuring Norah Jones - "Virginia Moon"
Gorillaz featuring De La Soul - "Feel Good， Inc."
対抗 Herbie Hancock featuring Christina Aguilera - "A Song for You"
本命 Stevie Wonder featuring India.Arie - "A Time to Love"
Best Pop Instrumental
対抗 Burt Bacharach & Chris Botti - "In Our Time"
George Duke - "T-Jam"
本命 Herbie Hancock featuring Trey Anastasio - "Gelo Na Montanha"
Daniel Lanois - "Agave"
Les Paul - "Caravan"
Best Pop Instrumental Album
本命 Burt Bacharach - At This Time
Eric Johnson - Bloom
Earl Klugh - Naked Guitar
Daniel Lanois - Belladonna
対抗 Jeff Lorber - Flipside
Best Pop Vocal Album
Fiona Apple - Extraordinary Machine
対抗 Kelly Clarkson - Breakaway
本命 Sheryl Crow - Wildflower
Paul McCartney - Chaos and Creation in the Backyard
Gwen Stefani - Love， Angel， Music， Baby
（7部門）
+++++
Field 4 Rock
Category 15 - Best Solo Rock Vocal
本命 Eric Clapton - "Revolution"
Robert Plant - "Shine It All Around"
対抗 Bruce Springsteen - "Devils & Dust"
Rob Thomas - "This Is How a Heart Breaks"
Neil Young - "The Painter"
Best Rock Duo or Group With Vocal
対抗 Coldplay - "Speed of Sound"
Foo Fighters - "Best of You"
Franz Ferdinand - "Do You Want To"
The Killers - "All These Things That I’ve Done"
本命 U2 - "Sometimes You Can’t Make It On Your Own"
Best Rock Instrumental
Adrian Belew - "Beat Box Guitar"
Stewart Copeland - "Birds of Prey"
本命 Les Paul & Friends - "69 Freedom Special"
Joe Perry - "Mercy"
対抗 Steve Vai - "Lotus Feet"
Best Rock Song
Coldplay - "Speed of Sound"
Foo Fighters - "Best of You"
対抗 Bruce Springsteen - "Devils & Dust"
本命 U2 - "City of Blinding Lights"
Weezer - "Beverly Hills"
Best Rock Album
Coldplay - X&Y
Foo Fighters - In Your Honor
対抗 The Rolling Stones - A Bigger Bang
本命 U2 - How To Dismantle an Atomic Bomb
Neil Young - Prairie Wind
（5部門）
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
FIELD 6 - R&B
Category 23 -Best Female R&B Vocal
Amerie - "1 Thing"
対抗 Beyonce - "Wishing on a Star"
本命 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
Fantasia - "Free Yourself"
Alicia Keys - "Unbreakable"
Best Male R&B Vocal
Jamie Foxx - "Creepin’"
本命 John Legend - "Ordinary People"
Mario - "Let Me Love You"
Usher - "Superstar"
対抗 Stevie Wonder - "So What the Fuss"
Best R&B Duo or Group With Vocals
対抗 Beyonce and Stevie Wonder - "So Amazing"
Destiny’s Child - "Cater 2 U"
Alicia Keys featuring Jermaine Paul - "If This World Were Mine"
John Legend featuring Lauryn Hill - "So High"
本命 Stevie Wonder featuring Aisha Morris - "How Will I Know"
Best Traditional R&B Vocal
対抗 Mariah Carey - "Mine Again"
Fantasia - "Summertime"
本命 Aretha Franklin - "A House Is Not a Home"
Alicia Keys - "If I Was Your Woman"
John Legend - "Stay With You"
Best Urban/Alternative
本命 Floetry - "SupaStar"
対抗 Gorillaz - "Dirty Harry"
Van Hunt - "Dust"
Damian Marley - "Welcome to Jamrock"
Mos Def - "Ghetto Rock"
Best R&B Song
対抗 Mariah Carey - "We Belong Together"
Destiny’s Child - "Cater 2 U"
Fantasia - "Free Yourself"
Alicia Keys - "Unbreakable"
本命 John Legend - "Ordinary People"
Best R&B Album
Earth， Wind & Fire - Illumination
Fantasia - Free Yourself
Alicia Keys - Unplugged
対抗 John Legend - Get Lifted
本命 Stevie Wonder - A Time to Love
Category 30 - Best Contemporary R&B Album
Amerie - Touch
本命 Mariah Carey - The Emancipation of Mimi
対抗 Destiny’s Child - Destiny Fulfilled
Mario - Turning Point
Omarion - O
（8部門）
（計24部門）
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